Where Things Stand Right Now
The current market window state, in plain language. Not a prediction — a structured observation.
3 of 6 bottom-confluence indicators have entered historically low territory. Undervaluation is forming but the bottom stage (①→② Transition) is not yet confirmed. Regime: Bear / Deleveraging — this limits position size even as conditions improve. Initial position reference: ~15%. Total reference: 15%–25%.
- Treat partial signals as a confirmed bottom — 3/6 means conditions are building, not resolved
- Open a full position — the 15%–25% reference is a ceiling, not a floor
- Ignore the regime backdrop — Bear / Deleveraging caps upside even as bottom signals converge
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